Introduction to climate scenarios
Climate scenarios from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5; Taylor et al., 2012) climate models, whose results were used in the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Report (AR5), are available. Projections are based on the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios.
Graphics and tables
Access plots of projected climate change for Canada based on a multi-model ensemble of CMIP5 climate output.
Access and download CMIP5 climate model projections that have been regridded onto a common 1x1 degree global grid.
Statistically downscaled scenarios
Access statistically downscaled climate scenarios based on CMIP5 model output.
Multi-model ensemble scenarios:
- Graphics and tables show projected climate change based on a multi-model ensemble of 29 CMIP5 models
- Reference period: projections are expressed as anomalies with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005 for graphics and tables
Climate scenarios based on model output used in the IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR) and the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) are also available.
Users requiring further information on the Environment and Climate Change Canada climate modelling program are invited to visit the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma) information page.